Assuming that Al Franken is really seated (likely) and the appointee from Illinois is a Dem (likely), that will be 59 votes (almost filibuster-proof).
So, what would have to happen would be a GOP senator changing stripes (unlikely) or one of them leaving office in a state with a Dem governor.
So, here's the GOP senators in Dem governor states (anyone starting with a '3' is up for reelection next go-round, BTW):
| 3 | Arizona | McCain, John[16] | Republican | Baptist[17] | military, U.S. House (AZ-1) | U.S. Naval Academy[16] | 1987 | 1936 | |
| 1 | Arizona | Kyl, Jon[16] | Republican | Presbyterian | attorney, U.S. House (AZ-4) | Arizona (BA, JD) | 1995 | 1942 | |
| 3 | Iowa | Grassley, Chuck | Republican | Baptist | Iowa House of Representatives, U.S. House (IA-3) | Northern Iowa (BA, MA) | 1981 | 1933 |
| 3 | Kansas | Brownback, Sam | Republican | Roman Catholic | U.S. House (KS-2) | Kansas State, Kansas | 1996 | 1956 | |
| 2 | Kansas | Roberts, Pat | Republican | Methodist | U.S. House (KS-1) | Kansas State | 1997 | 1936 |
| 2 | Kentucky | McConnell, Mitch | Republican | Baptist | Jefferson County Executive | Louisville, Kentucky | 1985 | 1942 | |
| 3 | Kentucky | Bunning, Jim | Republican | Roman Catholic | Fort Thomas City Council, Kentucky State Senate, U.S. House (KY-4) | Xavier | 1999 | 1931 |
| 1 | Maine | Snowe, Olympia | Republican | Eastern Orthodox | Maine House of Representatives;Maine Senate; U.S. House (ME-2) | Maine | 1995 | 1947 | |
| 2 | Maine | Collins, Susan | Republican | Roman Catholic | Deputy State Treasurer | St. Lawrence | 1997 | 1952 | |
| 3 | New Hampshire | Gregg, Judd | Republican | Congregationalist | Governor, U.S. House (NH-2) | Columbia, Boston University | 1993 | 1947 | |
| 3 | North Carolina | Burr, Richard | Republican | Methodist | U.S. House (NC-5) | Wake Forest | 2005 | 1955 | |
| 3 | Ohio | Voinovich, George | Republican | Roman Catholic | Mayor of Cleveland; Governor | Ohio, Ohio State | 1999 | 1936 |
| 2 | Oklahoma | Inhofe, Jim | Republican | Presbyterian | Oklahoma House of Rep; Oklahoma Senate; Mayor of Tulsa; U.S. House (OK-1) | Tulsa | 1995 | 1934 | |
| 3 | Oklahoma | Coburn, Tom | Republican | Baptist | Physician, U.S. House (OK-2) | Oklahoma State, Oklahoma | 2005 | 1948 | |
| 3 | Pennsylvania | Specter, Arlen | Republican | Jewish | Philadelphia District Attorney | Pennsylvania, Yale | 1981 | 1930 |
| 2 | Tennessee | Alexander, Lamar | Republican | Presbyterian | Governor; U.S. Secretary of Education | Vanderbilt, New York University | 2003 | 1940 | |
| 1 | Tennessee | Corker, Bob | Republican | Presbyterian | Mayor of Chattanooga | Tennessee | 2007 | 1952 |
| 2 | Wyoming | Enzi, Mike | Republican | Presbyterian | Mayor of Gillette; Wyoming House of Representatives; State Senate | George Washington, Denver | 1997 | 1944 | |
| 1 | Wyoming | Barrasso, John[A] | Republican | Presbyterian | State Senate | Georgetown (BS, MD) | 2007 | 1952 |
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